TY - JOUR
T1 - A methodology to enable exploratory thinking in strategic planning
AU - Malekpour, Shirin
AU - de Haan, Fjalar J.
AU - Brown, Rebekah R.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2016 Elsevier Inc.
PY - 2016/4
Y1 - 2016/4
N2 - It is widely accepted that the traditional predict-then-act approach to long-term planning for delivery of public services, such as energy, water or transportation, cannot withstand uncertainties and complexities associated with issues such as population growth, changing demands and climate change. In this regard, various planning approaches have been put forward by the scholarship as alternatives to the conventional model. The planning practice, however, is often following the path-dependent legacy of conventional approaches. This study puts forward a planning intervention, which can be plugged into conventional planning processes, as a way of building capacity for alternative planning approaches to take off. The intervention aims at enabling exploratory thinking within the planning process. Exploratory thinking considers alternative perspectives to planning issues, different from the well-established frames of reference, to potentially reveal some of the blind-spots in the business-as-usual planning. Trial application of the proposed intervention within the process of planning for development of a flood management strategy in Melbourne, Australia, provides propitious indications of widening the scope of thinking among the participants. Based on the achieved insights, a methodology for carrying out the proposed intervention is presented. The methodology would be relevant, and potentially useful, for both planning scholars and practitioners.
AB - It is widely accepted that the traditional predict-then-act approach to long-term planning for delivery of public services, such as energy, water or transportation, cannot withstand uncertainties and complexities associated with issues such as population growth, changing demands and climate change. In this regard, various planning approaches have been put forward by the scholarship as alternatives to the conventional model. The planning practice, however, is often following the path-dependent legacy of conventional approaches. This study puts forward a planning intervention, which can be plugged into conventional planning processes, as a way of building capacity for alternative planning approaches to take off. The intervention aims at enabling exploratory thinking within the planning process. Exploratory thinking considers alternative perspectives to planning issues, different from the well-established frames of reference, to potentially reveal some of the blind-spots in the business-as-usual planning. Trial application of the proposed intervention within the process of planning for development of a flood management strategy in Melbourne, Australia, provides propitious indications of widening the scope of thinking among the participants. Based on the achieved insights, a methodology for carrying out the proposed intervention is presented. The methodology would be relevant, and potentially useful, for both planning scholars and practitioners.
KW - Exploratory
KW - Flood management
KW - Long-term planning
KW - Planning intervention
KW - Robust strategies
KW - Scenarios
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84956664156&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.01.012
DO - 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.01.012
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84956664156
SN - 0040-1625
VL - 105
SP - 192
EP - 202
JO - Technological Forecasting and Social Change
JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change
ER -