A Regime-Switching Analysis of Asian Bank Stocks

Kin Yip Ho, Yanlin Shi, Zhaoyong Zhang

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review

    Abstract

    The market prices or returns of bank stocks contain important information for both supervisory bodies and market participants. In this chapter we examine the impact of firm-specific and macroeconomic news announcements on major Asian bank stock returns by applying a regime-switching framework. The analysis suggests that both the occurrence and sentiment of those news announcements have predictive power for future stock returns. Overall, firm-specific news has greater effects than macroeconomic news, and negative (positive) news can reduce (increase) stock returns. In addition, the magnitudes of those effects are different, depending on the types of news and regimes of stock returns. Our findings have great importance for policy makers seeking stability of financial system. Also, daily impact of news will help traders anticipate the potential effects on the returns of banks that they are monitoring.

    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationHandbook of Asian Finance
    Subtitle of host publicationFinancial Markets and Sovereign Wealth Funds
    PublisherElsevier Inc.
    Pages105-129
    Number of pages25
    Volume1
    ISBN (Electronic)9780128011010
    ISBN (Print)9780128009826
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 4 Jun 2014

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