Abrupt changes: The achilles' heels of the earth system

Will Steflen; Meinrat O. Andreae; Bert Bolin; Peter M. Cox; Paul J. Crutzen; Ulrich Cubasch; Hemuznn Held; Nebojia Nakidenovic; Robert J. Scholes; Liana Talaue-Mcmanus; B. L. Turner

doi:10.1080/00139150409604375

Abrupt changes: The achilles' heels of the earth system

Will Steflen^*, Meinrat O. Andreae, Bert Bolin, Peter M. Cox, Paul J. Crutzen, Ulrich Cubasch, Hemuznn Held, Nebojia Nakidenovic, Robert J. Scholes, Liana Talaue-Mcmanus, B. L. Turner

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

20 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Records from the past show that abrupt global change is the norm, not the exception, in the Earth System. Many recent changes-such as the globalization of the world's economy and the formation of the ozone hole over Antarctica-appear rapid even from the perspective of a single lifetime. What do we now know about the nature of abrupt changes in the Earth System and the probability that human actions could trigger them? & 2004 Taylor and Francis Group, LLC.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	8-20
Number of pages	13
Journal	Environment
Volume	46
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1080/00139150409604375
Publication status	Published - 1 Apr 2004

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10.1080/00139150409604375

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AU - Nakidenovic, Nebojia

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AU - Talaue-Mcmanus, Liana

AU - Turner, B. L.

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AB - Records from the past show that abrupt global change is the norm, not the exception, in the Earth System. Many recent changes-such as the globalization of the world's economy and the formation of the ozone hole over Antarctica-appear rapid even from the perspective of a single lifetime. What do we now know about the nature of abrupt changes in the Earth System and the probability that human actions could trigger them? & 2004 Taylor and Francis Group, LLC.

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Abrupt changes: The achilles' heels of the earth system

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