Application of ANUSPLIN to produce new intensity-frequency-duration (IFD) index rainfalls across Australia

Cynthia The, Michael Hutchinson, Fiona Johnson, Catherine Beesley, Janice Green

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

    8 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    The Bureau of Meteorology has recently released new Intensity-Frequency-Duration (IFD) design rainfall information as a component of the broader revision of Australian Rainfall and Runoff. This information depends in part on the index rainfalls, the mean annual maximum rainfalls over 1 to 7 day periods. Interpolating these index rainfalls across Australia enables the provision of IFD design rainfall information for any location in Australia. However, because of the sparseness of the rain gauge network in some regions an integral part of deriving the new IFDs was to optimise the gridding of the observed index rainfalls. This was undertaken using the software package ANUSPLIN which applies thin plate smoothing splines to interpolate and smooth multivariate data. The splines were fitted using three independent variables; latitude, longitude and elevation. The elevation scale was exaggerated by a factor of 100 to reflect the relative importance that elevation has on precipitation patterns. A considerable number of iterations was required to achieve an optimum outcome that represented the observed index rainfalls well but which did not place too much significance on shorter rainfall records and was robustly defined in data sparse areas with high topographic relief. The appropriate degree of smoothing of the fitted functions was determined by minimising the generalised cross validation and the number of knots and the dependent data transformation were varied to achieve optimal results. In addition to regional and continent-wide statistical tests, qualitative assessments were also conducted by preparing maps that showed how well the observed 1 day index rainfalls were represented in relation to the length of record available at each station, and the spatial density of the rain gauge network. The final index rainfall grids were produced by the application of ANUSPLIN using 3570 knots with no transformation applied to the data.

    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationHydrology and Water Resources Symposium 2014, HWRS 2014 - Conference Proceedings
    PublisherEngineers Australia
    Pages557-564
    Number of pages8
    ISBN (Electronic)9781922107190
    Publication statusPublished - 2014
    Event35th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium, HWRS 2014 - Perth, Australia
    Duration: 24 Feb 201427 Feb 2014

    Publication series

    NameHydrology and Water Resources Symposium 2014, HWRS 2014 - Conference Proceedings

    Conference

    Conference35th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium, HWRS 2014
    Country/TerritoryAustralia
    CityPerth
    Period24/02/1427/02/14

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