Are government deficits the prime cause of inflation?

Ulrich R. Kohli*, Warwick J. McKibbin

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

7 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We argue in this article that if government bonds are counted as part of private wealth, government budget deficits are a major cause of inflation, and the method chosen to finance the deficits (e.g., borrowing or monetary expansion) is of secondary importance. To illustrate this point we use a simple portfolio model that is then incorporated into a model of the Australian economy. The full model is specified in continuous time, and it is estimated by the full information maximum likelihood method (FIML) it is then used to simulate a number of fiscal shocks.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)279-309
Number of pages31
JournalJournal of Policy Modeling
Volume4
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Nov 1982
Externally publishedYes

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