Asia's changing role in world trade: Prospects for South-South trade growth to 2030

Kym Anderson is Professor in the School of Economics, University of Adelaide; Anna Strutt is Senior Lecturer in Economics at the University of Waikato. This paper was prepared as a background material for the Asian Development Bank's (ADB) Asian Development Outlook 2011. The authors are grateful for helpful interactions with Benno Ferrarini and Ernesto Valenzuela, and for funding from ADB and the Australian Research Council. The very useful comments and suggestions from discussants and participants at the ADB Forum on South-South Economic Linkages, Manila, 10 February 2011 are gratefully acknowledged, particularly Myrna Austria, Jayant Menon, and Joseph Zveglich Jr. Thanks are also due to Tom Hertel and Terrie Walmsley for their very helpful modelling suggestions. The authors accept responsibility for any errors in the paper.