Association of public health interventions and COVID-19 incidence in Vietnam, January to December 2020

Ha Linh Quach, Khanh Cong Nguyen*, Ngoc Anh Hoang*, Thai Quang Pham, Duong Nhu Tran, Mai Thi Quynh Le, Hung Thai Do, Chien Chinh Vien, Lan Trong Phan, Nghia Duy Ngu, Tu Anh Tran, Dinh Cong Phung, Quang Dai Tran, Tan Quang Dang, Duc Anh Dang, Florian Vogt

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    13 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Background: Vietnam implemented various public health interventions such as contact tracing and testing, mandatory quarantine, and lockdowns in response to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, the effects of these measures on the epidemic remain unclear. Methods: This article describes the public health interventions in relation to COVID-19 incidence. Maximum likelihood estimations were used to assess containment delays (time between symptom onset and start of isolation) and multivariable regression was employed to identify associated factors between interventions and COVID-19 incidence. The effective reproductive numbers (Rt) were calculated based on transmission pairs. Results: Interventions were introduced periodically in response to the epidemic. Overall, 817 (55.4%) among 1474 COVID-19 cases were imported. Based on a serial interval of 8.72 ± 5.65 days, it was estimated that Rt decreased to below 1 (lowest at 0.02, 95% CI 0–0.12) during periods of strict border control and contact tracing, and increased ahead of new clusters. The main method to detect cases shifted over time from passive notification to active case-finding at immigration or in lockdown areas, with containment delays showing significant differences between modes of case detection. Conclusions: A combination of early, strict, and consistently implemented interventions is crucial to control COVID-19. Low-middle income countries with limited capacity can contain COVID-19 successfully using non-pharmaceutical interventions.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)S28-S43
    JournalInternational Journal of Infectious Diseases
    Volume110
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Oct 2021

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