Coherent Mortality Forecasting with Standards: Low Mortality Serves as a Guide

Heather Booth*

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review

    5 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Mortality forecasts are an important component of population forecasting and are central to the estimation of longevity risk in actuarial practice. Planning by the state for health and aged care services and by individuals for retirement and later life depends on accurate mortality forecasts. The overall accuracy or performance of mortality forecasting has improved since Lee and Carter (1992) introduced stochastic forecasting of mortality to the demographic community, and further improvements can undoubtedly be made.

    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationSpringer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
    PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media B.V.
    Pages153-178
    Number of pages26
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2020

    Publication series

    NameSpringer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
    Volume49
    ISSN (Print)1877-2560
    ISSN (Electronic)2215-1990

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