Controlling emerging infectious diseases like SARS

Niels G. Becker*, Kathryn Glass, Zhengfeng Li, Geoffrey K. Aldis

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    55 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    To control emerging infectious diseases like SARS, it is necessary to resort to basic control measures that limit exposures to infectious individuals. These measures include isolating cases at diagnosis, quarantining household members and tracing contacts of diagnosed cases, providing the community with advice on how to reduce exposures, and closing schools. To justify such intervention it is important to understand how well each of these measures helps to limit transmission. In this paper, we determine the effect of a number of different interventions on the effective reproduction number and estimate requirements to achieve elimination of the infectious disease. We find that the strategy of tracing and quarantining contacts of diagnosed cases can be very successful in reducing transmission.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)205-221
    Number of pages17
    JournalMathematical Biosciences
    Volume193
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Feb 2005

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