TY - JOUR
T1 - Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy
AU - Raymer, James
AU - Bonaguidi, Alberto
AU - Valentini, Alessandro
PY - 2006/9
Y1 - 2006/9
N2 - A multiplicative component model is applied in this paper to present a simple, yet powerful, framework for analysing and projecting internal migration flows. The multiplicative components are useful for identifying important underlying structures in the migration patterns. To demonstrate, seven periods of age-specific interregional migration in Italy (1970-1971 to 2000-2001) are analysed. This information is then used to project the age and spatial structures forward to the 2010-2011 period. The projection model focuses on the underlying structures, which allows both the stable and changing aspects of the migration patterns to be included.
AB - A multiplicative component model is applied in this paper to present a simple, yet powerful, framework for analysing and projecting internal migration flows. The multiplicative components are useful for identifying important underlying structures in the migration patterns. To demonstrate, seven periods of age-specific interregional migration in Italy (1970-1971 to 2000-2001) are analysed. This information is then used to project the age and spatial structures forward to the 2010-2011 period. The projection model focuses on the underlying structures, which allows both the stable and changing aspects of the migration patterns to be included.
KW - Categorical data analysis
KW - Internal migration
KW - Italy
KW - Migration analysis
KW - Migration estimation
KW - Migration projection
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=33749181906&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1002/psp.414
DO - 10.1002/psp.414
M3 - Article
SN - 1544-8444
VL - 12
SP - 371
EP - 388
JO - Population, Space and Place
JF - Population, Space and Place
IS - 5
ER -