Abstract
A multiplicative component model is applied in this paper to present a simple, yet powerful, framework for analysing and projecting internal migration flows. The multiplicative components are useful for identifying important underlying structures in the migration patterns. To demonstrate, seven periods of age-specific interregional migration in Italy (1970-1971 to 2000-2001) are analysed. This information is then used to project the age and spatial structures forward to the 2010-2011 period. The projection model focuses on the underlying structures, which allows both the stable and changing aspects of the migration patterns to be included.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 371-388 |
| Number of pages | 18 |
| Journal | Population, Space and Place |
| Volume | 12 |
| Issue number | 5 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Sept 2006 |
| Externally published | Yes |
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