Development of the 2017 national seismic hazard maps of Indonesia

Masyhur Irsyam, Phil R. Cummins, M. Asrurifak, Lutfi Faizal, Danny Hilman Natawidjaja, Sri Widiyantoro, Irwan Meilano, Wahyu Triyoso, Ariska Rudiyanto, Sri Hidayati, M. Ridwan, Nuraini Rahma Hanifa, Arifan Jaya Syahbana*

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    98 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Indonesia is one of the most seismically active countries in the world, and its large, vulnerable population makes reliable seismic hazard assessment an urgent priority. In 2016, the Indonesian Ministry of Public Works and Housing established a team of earthquake scientists and engineers tasked with improving the input data available for revising the national seismic hazard map. They compiled results of recent active fault studies using geological, geophysical, and geodetic observations, as well as a new comprehensive earthquake catalog including hypocenters relocated in a three-dimensional velocity model. Seismic hazard analysis was undertaken using recently developed ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs), and logic trees for the inclusion of epistemic uncertainty associated with different choices for GMPEs and earthquake recurrence models. The new seismic hazard maps establish the importance of active faults and intraslab seismicity, as well as the subduction megathrust, in determining the level of seismic hazard, especially in onshore, populated areas. The new Indonesian hazard maps will be used to update national standards for design of earthquake-resilient buildings and infrastructure.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)112-136
    Number of pages25
    JournalEarthquake Spectra
    Volume36
    Issue number1_suppl
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 1 Oct 2020

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