Expected accuracy supports conditionalization-and conglomerability and reflection

Kenny Easwaran*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

55 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Expected accuracy arguments have been used by several authors (Leitgeb and Pettigrew and Greaves and Wallace) to support the diachronic principle of conditionalization, in updates where there are only finitely many possible propositions to learn. I show that these arguments can be extended to infinite cases, giving an argument not just for conditionalization but also for principles known as 'conglomerability' and 'reflection'. This shows that the expected accuracy approach is stronger than has been realized. I also argue that we should be careful to distinguish diachronic update principles from related synchronic principles for conditional probability.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)119-142
Number of pages24
JournalPhilosophy of Science
Volume80
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2013
Externally publishedYes

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