Exploring Water Governing System Fit Through a Statistical Mechanics Approach

Water governing systems are twisted with complex interplays among levels and scales which embody their structures. Typically, the mismatch between human-generated and natural systems produces externalities and inefficiencies reflectable in spatial scales. The largely known problem of fit in water governance is investigated to detect the issues of fit between administrative/institutional scales and the hydrological one in a lake basin. To implement the idea, constraining the level of analysis interlinked to the concentrated levels of administration in spatial scales, the fit of the governing system was analyzed by means of statistical mechanics. Modeling the structure of water demand/supply governing system in a given region through the Curie-Weiss Mean Field approximation, the system cost in relation to its structure and fit was appraised and compared with two other conceptual structures in the Urmia Lake Basin in Iran. The methodology articulated an analysis framework for exploring the effectiveness of the formulated water demand/supply governing system and its fit to the relevant hydrological system. The findings of this study may help developing strategies to encourage adaptations, rescaling/reforms for effective watershed management.