Finite time ruin probabilities for tempered stable insurance risk processes

Philip S. Griffin, Ross A. Maller, Dale Roberts*

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    7 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    We study the probability of ruin before time t for the family of tempered stable Lévy insurance risk processes, which includes the spectrally positive inverse Gaussian processes. Numerical approximations of the ruin time distribution are derived via the Laplace transform of the asymptotic ruin time distribution, for which we have an explicit expression. These are benchmarked against simulations based on importance sampling using stable processes. Theoretical consequences of the asymptotic formulae indicate that some care is needed in the choice of parameters to avoid exponential growth (in time) of the ruin probabilities in these models. This, in particular, applies to the inverse Gaussian process when the safety loading is less than one.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)478-489
    Number of pages12
    JournalInsurance: Mathematics and Economics
    Volume53
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Sept 2013

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