TY - JOUR
T1 - Fractionally integrated GARCH model with tempered stable distribution
T2 - a simulation study
AU - Feng, L.
AU - Shi, Y.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2016 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
PY - 2017/12/10
Y1 - 2017/12/10
N2 - With the growing availability of high-frequency data, long memory has become a popular topic in finance research. Fractionally Integrated GARCH (FIGARCH) model is a standard approach to study the long memory of financial volatility. The original specification of FIGARCH model is developed using Normal distribution, which cannot accommodate fat-tailed properties commonly existing in financial time series. Traditionally, the Student-t distribution and General Error Distribution (GED) are used instead to solve that problem. However, a recent study points out that the Student-t lacks stability. Instead, the Stable distribution is introduced. The issue of this distribution is that its second moment does not exist. To overcome this new problem, the tempered stable distribution, which retains most attractive characteristics of the Stable distribution and has defined moments, is a natural candidate. In this paper, we describe the estimation procedure of the FIGARCH model with tempered stable distribution and conduct a series of simulation studies to demonstrate that it consistently outperforms FIGARCH models with the Normal, Student-t and GED distributions. An empirical evidence of the S&P 500 hourly return is also provided with robust results. Therefore, we argue that the tempered stable distribution could be a widely useful tool for modelling the high-frequency financial volatility in general contexts with a FIGARCH-type specification.
AB - With the growing availability of high-frequency data, long memory has become a popular topic in finance research. Fractionally Integrated GARCH (FIGARCH) model is a standard approach to study the long memory of financial volatility. The original specification of FIGARCH model is developed using Normal distribution, which cannot accommodate fat-tailed properties commonly existing in financial time series. Traditionally, the Student-t distribution and General Error Distribution (GED) are used instead to solve that problem. However, a recent study points out that the Student-t lacks stability. Instead, the Stable distribution is introduced. The issue of this distribution is that its second moment does not exist. To overcome this new problem, the tempered stable distribution, which retains most attractive characteristics of the Stable distribution and has defined moments, is a natural candidate. In this paper, we describe the estimation procedure of the FIGARCH model with tempered stable distribution and conduct a series of simulation studies to demonstrate that it consistently outperforms FIGARCH models with the Normal, Student-t and GED distributions. An empirical evidence of the S&P 500 hourly return is also provided with robust results. Therefore, we argue that the tempered stable distribution could be a widely useful tool for modelling the high-frequency financial volatility in general contexts with a FIGARCH-type specification.
KW - FIGARCH model
KW - Long memory
KW - fat-tailed distribution
KW - maximum likelihood estimation
KW - tempered stable distribution
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85003976958&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/02664763.2016.1266310
DO - 10.1080/02664763.2016.1266310
M3 - Article
SN - 0266-4763
VL - 44
SP - 2837
EP - 2857
JO - Journal of Applied Statistics
JF - Journal of Applied Statistics
IS - 16
ER -