Geographic Mobility, Social Connections and Voter Turnout

Keith Dowding, Peter John, Daniel Rubenson*

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    6 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    It is known that those recently moved are less likely to vote. If the decision to vote is a cost-benefit calculation, then those intending to move may also be less likely to vote as they will not be affected by the local result. This self-interested calculation might be mitigated if people vote sociotropically. We show that the effect of intending to move is conditional on levels of social capital: those who have invested in their community are less affected by their intention to move in their decision whether to vote. Using survey data from the UK we show that (a) those intending to move are less likely to vote, (b) higher social capital increases the likelihood of voting and (c) the negative effect of intending to move diminishes when people have more social investments in their community.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)109-122
    Number of pages14
    JournalJournal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties
    Volume22
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - May 2012

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