Hot topic or hot air? Climate change and malaria resurgence in East African highlands

Simon I. Hay; David J. Rogers; Sarah E. Randolph; David I. Stern; Jonathan Cox; G. Dennis Shanks; Robert W. Snow

doi:10.1016/S1471-4922(02)02374-7

Hot topic or hot air? Climate change and malaria resurgence in East African highlands

Simon I. Hay^*, David J. Rogers, Sarah E. Randolph, David I. Stern, Jonathan Cox, G. Dennis Shanks, Robert W. Snow

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

122 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Climate has a significant impact on malaria incidence and we have predicted that forecast climate changes might cause some modifications to the present global distribution of malaria close to its present boundaries. However, it is quite another matter to attribute recent resurgences of malaria in the highlands of East Africa to climate change. Analyses of malaria time-series at such sites have shown that malaria incidence has increased in the absence of co-varying changes in climate. We find the widespread increase in resistance of the malaria parasite to drugs and the decrease in vector control activities to be more likely driving forces behind the malaria resurgence.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	530-534
Number of pages	5
Journal	Trends in Parasitology
Volume	18
Issue number	12
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/S1471-4922(02)02374-7
Publication status	Published - 1 Dec 2002
Externally published	Yes

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abstract = "Climate has a significant impact on malaria incidence and we have predicted that forecast climate changes might cause some modifications to the present global distribution of malaria close to its present boundaries. However, it is quite another matter to attribute recent resurgences of malaria in the highlands of East Africa to climate change. Analyses of malaria time-series at such sites have shown that malaria incidence has increased in the absence of co-varying changes in climate. We find the widespread increase in resistance of the malaria parasite to drugs and the decrease in vector control activities to be more likely driving forces behind the malaria resurgence.",

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AU - Shanks, G. Dennis

AU - Snow, Robert W.

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Hot topic or hot air? Climate change and malaria resurgence in East African highlands

Abstract

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