How to Predict Future Migration: Different Methods Explained and Compared

Helga A.G. de Valk; Eduardo Acostamadiedo; Qing Guan; Susanne Melde; Jarl Mooyaart; Rhea Ravenna Sohst; Jasper Tjaden

doi:10.1007/978-3-030-92377-8_28

How to Predict Future Migration: Different Methods Explained and Compared

Helga A.G. de Valk^*, Eduardo Acostamadiedo, Qing Guan, Susanne Melde, Jarl Mooyaart, Rhea Ravenna Sohst, Jasper Tjaden

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter › peer-review

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

How many people will likely move in the decades to come? And where will they come from and move to? Policymakers worldwide have a keen interest in these questions. While long-term developments in international migration patterns are relevant for the demography and economy of a country, sudden flows—for example, in the case of humanitarian emergencies—pose institutional challenges regarding reception capacities, health systems, housing, education, and training programs amongst others. This chapter reviews key concepts related to migration scenarios and forecasting. It outlines different qualitative and quantitative approaches, compares different studies, and discusses the potential use of various techniques for academic and policy audiences.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	IMISCOE Research Series
Publisher	Springer Science and Business Media B.V.
Pages	463-482
Number of pages	20
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-92377-8_28
Publication status	Published - 2022

Publication series

Name	IMISCOE Research Series
ISSN (Print)	2364-4087
ISSN (Electronic)	2364-4095

Access to Document

10.1007/978-3-030-92377-8_28

Cite this

@inbook{aace8433ceaa4536b14ad795be757461,

title = "How to Predict Future Migration: Different Methods Explained and Compared",

abstract = "How many people will likely move in the decades to come? And where will they come from and move to? Policymakers worldwide have a keen interest in these questions. While long-term developments in international migration patterns are relevant for the demography and economy of a country, sudden flows—for example, in the case of humanitarian emergencies—pose institutional challenges regarding reception capacities, health systems, housing, education, and training programs amongst others. This chapter reviews key concepts related to migration scenarios and forecasting. It outlines different qualitative and quantitative approaches, compares different studies, and discusses the potential use of various techniques for academic and policy audiences.",

author = "{de Valk}, {Helga A.G.} and Eduardo Acostamadiedo and Qing Guan and Susanne Melde and Jarl Mooyaart and Sohst, {Rhea Ravenna} and Jasper Tjaden",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2022, The Author(s).",

year = "2022",

doi = "10.1007/978-3-030-92377-8_28",

language = "English",

series = "IMISCOE Research Series",

publisher = "Springer Science and Business Media B.V.",

pages = "463--482",

booktitle = "IMISCOE Research Series",

address = "Germany",

}

TY - CHAP

T1 - How to Predict Future Migration

T2 - Different Methods Explained and Compared

AU - de Valk, Helga A.G.

AU - Acostamadiedo, Eduardo

AU - Guan, Qing

AU - Melde, Susanne

AU - Mooyaart, Jarl

AU - Sohst, Rhea Ravenna

AU - Tjaden, Jasper

PY - 2022

Y1 - 2022

N2 - How many people will likely move in the decades to come? And where will they come from and move to? Policymakers worldwide have a keen interest in these questions. While long-term developments in international migration patterns are relevant for the demography and economy of a country, sudden flows—for example, in the case of humanitarian emergencies—pose institutional challenges regarding reception capacities, health systems, housing, education, and training programs amongst others. This chapter reviews key concepts related to migration scenarios and forecasting. It outlines different qualitative and quantitative approaches, compares different studies, and discusses the potential use of various techniques for academic and policy audiences.

AB - How many people will likely move in the decades to come? And where will they come from and move to? Policymakers worldwide have a keen interest in these questions. While long-term developments in international migration patterns are relevant for the demography and economy of a country, sudden flows—for example, in the case of humanitarian emergencies—pose institutional challenges regarding reception capacities, health systems, housing, education, and training programs amongst others. This chapter reviews key concepts related to migration scenarios and forecasting. It outlines different qualitative and quantitative approaches, compares different studies, and discusses the potential use of various techniques for academic and policy audiences.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85131785820&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1007/978-3-030-92377-8_28

DO - 10.1007/978-3-030-92377-8_28

M3 - Chapter

T3 - IMISCOE Research Series

SP - 463

EP - 482

BT - IMISCOE Research Series

PB - Springer Science and Business Media B.V.

ER -

How to Predict Future Migration: Different Methods Explained and Compared

Abstract

Publication series

Access to Document

Other files and links

Fingerprint

Cite this