Impacts of the monetary policy on the exchange rate: case study of Vietnam

Van Anh Pham*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

8 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to evaluate and analyze impacts of the monetary policy (MP) – money aggregate and interest rate – on the exchange rate in Vietnam.

Design/methodology/approach: The study uses data over the period of 2008–2018 and applies the vector autoregression model, namely recursive restriction and sign restriction approaches. 

Findings: The main empirical findings are as follows: a contraction of the money aggregate significantly leads to the real effective exchange rate (REER) depreciating and then appreciating; a tightening of the interest rate immediately causes the REER appreciating and then depreciating; and both the money aggregate and the interest rate strongly determine fluctuations of the REER.

Originality/value: The quantitative results imply that the MP affects the REER considerably.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)220-237
Number of pages18
JournalJournal of Asian Business and Economic Studies
Volume26
Issue number2
Early online date25 Jul 2019
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 22 Oct 2019

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