TY - JOUR
T1 - Integrated modeling of European migration
AU - Raymer, James
AU - Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz
AU - Forster, Jonathan J.
AU - Smith, Peter W.F.
AU - Bijak, Jakub
PY - 2013
Y1 - 2013
N2 - International migration data in Europe are collected by individual countries with separate collection systems and designs. As a result, reported data are inconsistent in availability, definition, and quality. In this article, we propose a Bayesian model to overcome the limitations of the various data sources. The focus is on estimating recent international migration flows among 31 countries in the European Union and European Free Trade Association from 2002 to 2008, using data collated by Eurostat. We also incorporate covariate information and information provided by experts on the effects of undercount, measurement, and accuracy of data collection systems. The methodology is integrated and produces a synthetic database with measures of uncertainty for international migration flows and other model parameters. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.
AB - International migration data in Europe are collected by individual countries with separate collection systems and designs. As a result, reported data are inconsistent in availability, definition, and quality. In this article, we propose a Bayesian model to overcome the limitations of the various data sources. The focus is on estimating recent international migration flows among 31 countries in the European Union and European Free Trade Association from 2002 to 2008, using data collated by Eurostat. We also incorporate covariate information and information provided by experts on the effects of undercount, measurement, and accuracy of data collection systems. The methodology is integrated and produces a synthetic database with measures of uncertainty for international migration flows and other model parameters. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.
KW - Bayesian modeling
KW - Europe
KW - International migration statistics
KW - Migration models
KW - Uncertainty
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84888398221&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/01621459.2013.789435
DO - 10.1080/01621459.2013.789435
M3 - Article
SN - 0162-1459
VL - 108
SP - 801
EP - 819
JO - Journal of the American Statistical Association
JF - Journal of the American Statistical Association
IS - 503
ER -