Interplay between topology and dynamics in the World Trade Web

D. Garlaschelli*, T. Di Matteo, T. Aste, G. Caldarelli, M. I. Loffredo

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    107 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    We present an empirical analysis of the network formed by the trade relationships between all world countries, or World Trade Web (WTW). Each (directed) link is weighted by the amount of wealth flowing between two countries, and each country is characterized by the value of its Gross Domestic Product (GDP). By analysing a set of year-by-year data covering the time interval 1950-2000, we show that the dynamics of all GDP values and the evolution of the WTW (trade flow and topology) are tightly coupled. The probability that two countries are connected depends on their GDP values, supporting recent theoretical models relating network topology to the presence of a 'hidden' variable (or fitness). On the other hand, the topology is shown to determine the GDP values due to the exchange between countries. This leads us to a new framework where the fitness value is a dynamical variable determining, and at the same time depending on, network topology in a continuous feedback.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)159-164
    Number of pages6
    JournalEuropean Physical Journal B
    Volume57
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - May 2007

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