TY - JOUR
T1 - Long-range dependence of Markov chains in discrete time on countable state space
AU - Carpio, K. J.E.
AU - Daley, D. J.
PY - 2007/12
Y1 - 2007/12
N2 - When {Xn} is an irreducible, stationary, aperiodic Markov chain on the countable state space χ = {i, j, ...}, the study of long-range dependence of any square integrable functional {Yn} := {yX n} of the chain, for any real-valued function {yi : i ε χ}, involves in an essential manner the functions Oij n = ∑r=1n (pijr - πj), where pijr = P{Xr = j | X0 = i) is the r-step transition probability for the chain and {πi ε χ} = P{Xn = i} is the stationary distribution for {Xn}. The simplest functional arises when Y n is the indicator sequence for visits to some particular state i, Ini = I{Xn=i} say, in which case lim sup n→∞ n-1 var(Y1 + ⋯ + Y n) = lim supn→∞ n-1 (Ni (0, n]) = ∞ if and only if the generic return time random variable T ii for the chain to return to state i starting from i has infinite second moment (here, Ni (0, n] denotes the number of visits of X r to state i in the time epochs {1, ... , n}). This condition is equivalent to Qjin → ∞ for one (and then every) state j, or to E(Tjj2) = ∞ for one (and then every) state j, and when it holds, (Qijn/πj)/ {Qkkn/πk) → 1 for n → ∞ for any triplet of states i, j, k.
AB - When {Xn} is an irreducible, stationary, aperiodic Markov chain on the countable state space χ = {i, j, ...}, the study of long-range dependence of any square integrable functional {Yn} := {yX n} of the chain, for any real-valued function {yi : i ε χ}, involves in an essential manner the functions Oij n = ∑r=1n (pijr - πj), where pijr = P{Xr = j | X0 = i) is the r-step transition probability for the chain and {πi ε χ} = P{Xn = i} is the stationary distribution for {Xn}. The simplest functional arises when Y n is the indicator sequence for visits to some particular state i, Ini = I{Xn=i} say, in which case lim sup n→∞ n-1 var(Y1 + ⋯ + Y n) = lim supn→∞ n-1 (Ni (0, n]) = ∞ if and only if the generic return time random variable T ii for the chain to return to state i starting from i has infinite second moment (here, Ni (0, n] denotes the number of visits of X r to state i in the time epochs {1, ... , n}). This condition is equivalent to Qjin → ∞ for one (and then every) state j, or to E(Tjj2) = ∞ for one (and then every) state j, and when it holds, (Qijn/πj)/ {Qkkn/πk) → 1 for n → ∞ for any triplet of states i, j, k.
KW - Functional
KW - Hurst index
KW - Long-range dependence
KW - Markov chain
KW - Moment index
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=38949155490&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1239/jap/1197908823
DO - 10.1239/jap/1197908823
M3 - Article
SN - 0021-9002
VL - 44
SP - 1047
EP - 1055
JO - Journal of Applied Probability
JF - Journal of Applied Probability
IS - 4
ER -