Long-Range Dependent Curve Time Series

Degui Li, Peter M. Robinson*, Han Lin Shang

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    63 Citations (SciVal)

    Abstract

    We introduce methods and theory for functional or curve time series with long-range dependence. The temporal sum of the curve process is shown to be asymptotically normally distributed, the conditions for this covering a functional version of fractionally integrated autoregressive moving averages. We also construct an estimate of the long-run covariance function, which we use, via functional principal component analysis, in estimating the orthonormal functions spanning the dominant subspace of the curves. In a semiparametric context, we propose an estimate of the memory parameter and establish its consistency. A Monte Carlo study of finite-sample performance is included, along with two empirical applications. The first of these finds a degree of stability and persistence in intraday stock returns. The second finds similarity in the extent of long memory in incremental age-specific fertility rates across some developed nations. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)957-971
    Number of pages15
    JournalJournal of the American Statistical Association
    Volume115
    Issue number530
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2 Apr 2020

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