Modelling the behaviour of the new issue market

Tim Brailsford, Richard Heaney*, Jing Shi

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    11 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    This paper analyses the time series behaviour of the initial public offering (IPO) market using an equilibrium model of demand and supply that incorporates the number of new issues, average underpricing, and general market conditions. Model predictions include the existence of serial correlation in both the number of new issues and the average level of underpricing, as well as interactions between these variables and the impact of general market conditions. The model is tested using 40 years of monthly IPO data. The empirical results are generally consistent with predictions.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)119-132
    Number of pages14
    JournalInternational Review of Financial Analysis
    Volume13
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2004

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