No consistent effects of prenatal or neonatal exposure to Spanish flu on late-life mortality in 24 developed countries

Alan A. Cohen*, John Tillinghast, Vladimir Canudas-Romo

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

22 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We test the effects of early life exposure to disease on later health by looking for differences in late-life mortality in cohorts born around the 1918-1919 flu pandemic using data from the Human Mortality Database for 24 countries. After controlling for age, period, and sex effects, residual mortality rates did not differ systematically for flu cohorts relative to surrounding cohorts. We calculate at most a 20-day reduction in life expectancy for flu cohorts; likely values are much smaller. Estimates of influenza incidence during the pandemic suggest that exposure was high enough for this to be a robust negative result.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)579-634
Number of pages56
JournalDemographic Research
Volume22
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2010
Externally publishedYes

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