Partial Identification and Bound Estimation of the Average Treatment Effect of Education on Earnings for South Africa

Martine Mariotti, Juergen Meinecke

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    4 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    We partially identify the average treatment effect of education on earnings and non-parametrically estimate its upper bound for African, Coloured (mixed race) and White males in South Africa. We address endogenous selection into education, cohort effects and endogenous selection into work. Using the September 2007 South African Labour Force Survey, the upper bound estimates are considerably lower than existing parametric point estimates of the return to education. As a lesson, policy makers should focus less on increasing the amount of education obtained by Africans and Coloureds, but rather on measures that can grow the return to existing levels of education.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)210-233
    Number of pages24
    JournalOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
    Volume77
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 1 Apr 2015

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