Policies and performance in the 2019 Australian federal election

Sarah Cameron*, Ian McAllister

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    7 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    The Liberal–National Coalition success in the 2019 Australian federal election surprised many observers, with the opinion polls consistently predicting a Labor victory. The election was notable for Labor’s proposals for wide-ranging tax changes, a historically unpopular Labor leader, and the fourth change of prime minister outside an election since 2010. Using the 2019 Australian Election Study, we test the influence of two models of voting, the first based on ideology together with an emphasis on policy, and the second on performance. The results show that performance was the dominant explanation for the result, with evaluations of party competence and leader popularity playing a major role in explaining voting behaviour in the election, both of which benefitted the Coalition.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)239-256
    Number of pages18
    JournalAustralian Journal of Political Science
    Volume55
    Issue number3
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2 Jul 2020

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