TY - JOUR
T1 - Policies and performance in the 2019 Australian federal election
AU - Cameron, Sarah
AU - McAllister, Ian
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 Australian Political Studies Association.
PY - 2020/7/2
Y1 - 2020/7/2
N2 - The Liberal–National Coalition success in the 2019 Australian federal election surprised many observers, with the opinion polls consistently predicting a Labor victory. The election was notable for Labor’s proposals for wide-ranging tax changes, a historically unpopular Labor leader, and the fourth change of prime minister outside an election since 2010. Using the 2019 Australian Election Study, we test the influence of two models of voting, the first based on ideology together with an emphasis on policy, and the second on performance. The results show that performance was the dominant explanation for the result, with evaluations of party competence and leader popularity playing a major role in explaining voting behaviour in the election, both of which benefitted the Coalition.
AB - The Liberal–National Coalition success in the 2019 Australian federal election surprised many observers, with the opinion polls consistently predicting a Labor victory. The election was notable for Labor’s proposals for wide-ranging tax changes, a historically unpopular Labor leader, and the fourth change of prime minister outside an election since 2010. Using the 2019 Australian Election Study, we test the influence of two models of voting, the first based on ideology together with an emphasis on policy, and the second on performance. The results show that performance was the dominant explanation for the result, with evaluations of party competence and leader popularity playing a major role in explaining voting behaviour in the election, both of which benefitted the Coalition.
KW - Australian elections
KW - political leaders
KW - political parties
KW - voting
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85087161511&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/10361146.2020.1776679
DO - 10.1080/10361146.2020.1776679
M3 - Article
SN - 1036-1146
VL - 55
SP - 239
EP - 256
JO - Australian Journal of Political Science
JF - Australian Journal of Political Science
IS - 3
ER -