TY - JOUR
T1 - Population-attributable risk estimates for risk factors associated with Campylobacter infection, Australia
AU - Stafford, Russell J.
AU - Schluter, Philip J.
AU - Wilson, Andrew J.
AU - Kirk, Martyn D.
AU - Hall, Gillian
AU - Unicomb, Leanne
AU - Dalton, Craig
AU - Merritt, Tony
AU - Ashbolt, Rosie
AU - Sault, Cameron
AU - Gregory, Joy
AU - Bell, Robert
AU - Givney, Rod
AU - Raupach, Jane
AU - Combs, Barry
AU - Mwanri, Lillian
AU - Musto, Jennie
AU - Tomaska, Nola
AU - Millard, Geoff
AU - Sarna, Mohinder
AU - Hogg, Geoff
AU - Williams, Craig
AU - Li, Janet
AU - Lalor, Karin
AU - Prasopa-Plazier, Nittita
AU - Mueleners, Lyn
AU - McKay, Ian
PY - 2008/6
Y1 - 2008/6
N2 - In 2001-2002, a multicenter, prospective case-control study involving 1,714 participants ≥5 years of age was conducted in Australia to identify risk factors for Campylobacter infection. Adjusted population-attributable risks (PARs) were derived for each independent risk factor contained within the final multivariable logistic regression model. Estimated PARs were combined with adjusted (for the ≥5 years of age eligibility criterion) notifiable disease surveillance data to estimate annual Australian Campylobacter case numbers attributable to each risk factor. Simulated distributions of "credible values" were then generated to model the uncertainty associated with each case number estimate. Among foodborne risk factors, an estimated 50,500 (95% credible interval 10,000-105,500) cases of Campylobacter infection in persons ≥5 years of age could be directly attributed each year to consumption of chicken in Australia. Our statistical technique could be applied more widely to other communicable diseases that are subject to routine surveillance.
AB - In 2001-2002, a multicenter, prospective case-control study involving 1,714 participants ≥5 years of age was conducted in Australia to identify risk factors for Campylobacter infection. Adjusted population-attributable risks (PARs) were derived for each independent risk factor contained within the final multivariable logistic regression model. Estimated PARs were combined with adjusted (for the ≥5 years of age eligibility criterion) notifiable disease surveillance data to estimate annual Australian Campylobacter case numbers attributable to each risk factor. Simulated distributions of "credible values" were then generated to model the uncertainty associated with each case number estimate. Among foodborne risk factors, an estimated 50,500 (95% credible interval 10,000-105,500) cases of Campylobacter infection in persons ≥5 years of age could be directly attributed each year to consumption of chicken in Australia. Our statistical technique could be applied more widely to other communicable diseases that are subject to routine surveillance.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=45249094547&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.3201/eid1406.071008
DO - 10.3201/eid1406.071008
M3 - Article
SN - 1080-6040
VL - 14
SP - 895
EP - 901
JO - Emerging Infectious Diseases
JF - Emerging Infectious Diseases
IS - 6
ER -