Predicting the emergence of self-radicalisation through social media: A complex systems approach

Roger Bradbury, Terry Bossomaier, David Kernott

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review

    Abstract

    We are using a complex systems approach in a pilot project to create a data-driven real-time empirical analysis of the self-radicalisation phenomenon. The project, if successful, will generate actionable predictions about the likelihood that particular individuals of interest will become self-radicalised. In the pilot project, we use validated open source data to empirically test three hypotheses: individuals reveal their identity a personal signature through their texts; there exist tipping-point phenomena where identity may shift rapidly from one metastable state to another; and an individuals identity will show critical slowing down the characteristic dynamics that predict the approach of a tipping point.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationTerrorists' use of the internet: Assessment and Response
    EditorsConway, M., Jarvis, L., Lehane, O., Macdonald, S., Nouri, L.
    Place of PublicationAustralia
    PublisherIOS Press
    Pages379-389
    Volume136
    Edition1st Edition
    ISBN (Print)978-1-61499-764-1
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2018

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