Predictors of injury mortality: Findings from a large national cohort in Thailand

Vasoontara Yiengprugsawan*, Janneke Berecki-Gisolf, Christopher Bain, Roderick McClure, Sam Ang Seubsman, Adrian C. Sleigh

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    7 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Objective: To present predictors of injury mortality by types of injury and by pre-existing attributes or other individual exposures identified at baseline. Design: 5-year prospective longitudinal study. Setting: Contemporary Thailand (2005-2010), a country undergoing epidemiological transition. Participants: Data derived from a research cohort of 87 037 distance-learning students enrolled at Sukhothai Thammathirat Open University residing nationwide. Measures: Cohort members completed a comprehensive baseline mail-out questionnaire in 2005 reporting geodemographic, behavioural, health and injury data. These responses were matched with national death records using the Thai Citizen ID number. Age-sex adjusted multinomial logistic regression was used to calculate ORs linking exposure variables collected at baseline to injury deaths over the next 5 years. Results: Statistically significant predictors of injury mortality were being male (adjustedOR 3.87, 95% CI 2.39 to 6.26), residing in the southern areas (AOR 1.71, 95% CI 1.05 to 2.79), being a current smoker (1.56, 95% CI 1.03 to 2.37), history of drunk driving (AOR 1.49, 95% CI 1.01 to 2.20) and ever having been diagnosed for depression (AOR 1.91, 95% CI 1.00 to 3.69). Other covariates such as being young, having low social support and reporting road injury in the past year at baseline had moderately predictive AORs ranging from 1.4 to 1.6 but were not statistically significant. Conclusions: We complemented national death registration with longitudinal data on individual, social and health attributes. This information is invaluable in yielding insight into certain risk traits such as being a young male, history of drunk driving and history of depression. Such information could be used to inform injury prevention policies and strategies.

    Original languageEnglish
    Article numbere004668
    JournalBMJ Open
    Volume4
    Issue number6
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2014

    Fingerprint

    Dive into the research topics of 'Predictors of injury mortality: Findings from a large national cohort in Thailand'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

    Cite this