Randomization and dynamic consistency

Jürgen Eichberger, Simon Grant, David Kelsey*

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    10 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Raiffa (Q J Econ 75:690–694, 1961) has suggested that ambiguity aversion will cause a strict preference for randomization. We show that dynamic consistency implies that individuals will be indifferent to ex ante randomizations. On the other hand, it is possible for a dynamically consistent ambiguity averse preference relation to exhibit a strict preference for some ex post randomizations. We argue that our analysis throws some light on the recent debate on the status of the smooth model of ambiguity This debate rests on whether the randomizations implicit in the set-up are viewed as being resolved before or after the (ambiguous) uncertainty.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)547-566
    Number of pages20
    JournalEconomic Theory
    Volume62
    Issue number3
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 1 Aug 2016

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