Should subjective probabilities be sharp?

Seamus Bradley, Katie Steele

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

22 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

There has been much recent interest in imprecise probabilities, models of belief that allow unsharp or fuzzy credence. There have also been some influential criticisms of this position. Here we argue, chiefly against Elga (2010), that subjective probabilities need not be sharp. The key question is whether the imprecise probabilist can make reasonable sequences of decisions. We argue that she can. We outline Elga's argument and clarify the assumptions he makes and the principles of rationality he is implicitly committed to. We argue that these assumptions are too strong and that rational imprecise choice is possible in the absence of these overly strong conditions.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)277-289
Number of pages13
JournalEpisteme
Volume11
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2014
Externally publishedYes

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