Specification sensitivities in the Markov-switching unit root test for bubbles

Shu Ping Shi*

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    28 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    The aim of this article is to provide some empirical guidelines for the practical implementation of the Markov-switching augmented Dickey-Fuller (MSADF) test proposed by Hall et al. (J Appl Econom 14:143-154, 1999) for detecting explosive bubble behavior. We conduct simulation studies to compare the performance of the MSADF test under different error variance specifications, namely the constant variance and regime-dependent variance assumptions. An empirical application to the money base, consumer price and exchange rate in Argentina reveals the practical importance of the error variance specification on the MSADF test outcomes.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)697-713
    Number of pages17
    JournalEmpirical Economics
    Volume45
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Oct 2013

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