The relation between news events and stock price jump: An analysis based on neural network

Wanbin Wang, Kin Yip Ho, Wai Man Liu, Kun Wang

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The efficient-market hypothesis states that price movements are extremely efficient in reflecting information flows. Some studies have shown that stock prices are related to news events such as earnings announcements, political events and corporate takeovers, while others have failed to find convincing evidence to relate price changes to news. The aim of this study is to explore the relation between news and abnormal financial market volatility. We first investigate the Granger causality between news and stock returns. Our results show that stock price change is the Granger cause of news volume and news sentiment; news volume is not the Granger cause of stock price change while news sentiment is the Granger cause of stock price change. Moreover, we utilize an artificial neural network model to predict stock market collapses by using different volatility parameters. The findings from this study will further our understanding of stock price movements and the reasons for stock market collapses.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, MODSIM 2013
EditorsJulia Piantadosi, Robert Anderssen, John Boland
PublisherModelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc (MSSANZ)
Pages1406-1411
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9780987214331
Publication statusPublished - 2013
Event20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation - Adapting to Change: The Multiple Roles of Modelling, MODSIM 2013 - Held jointly with the 22nd National Conference of the Australian Society for Operations Research, ASOR 2013 and the DSTO led Defence Operations Research Symposium, DORS 2013 - Adelaide, Australia
Duration: 1 Dec 20136 Dec 2013

Publication series

NameProceedings - 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, MODSIM 2013

Conference

Conference20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation - Adapting to Change: The Multiple Roles of Modelling, MODSIM 2013 - Held jointly with the 22nd National Conference of the Australian Society for Operations Research, ASOR 2013 and the DSTO led Defence Operations Research Symposium, DORS 2013
Country/TerritoryAustralia
CityAdelaide
Period1/12/136/12/13

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